Buy Euros Now or Wait?

Bustup15

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Dethleffs I 7820-2
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New to motorhomes 2019
Final payment on new self imported MH quickly approaching, Euro rate up at a high over the last few months, will it push higher or fall back?

Ever wished you had a crystal ball........o_O
 
the nearer march we get the lower it will fall

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In theory of course the current price reflects the sum of knowledge in the market. I (and probably we) don’t know better than the sum of market judgments.

It’s probably a decision best taken as a personal risk judgment. Is this a good affordable price for you to fund your final payment? Does the price certainty of doing it now help you? Conversely, if the price drops by very much (or improves by very much) what will the impact on you be?
 
Can you get the app for whatever system you use? Then buy small amounts of euros until the rate goes up. I use the fairfx app and buy while we're away.
 
Can you get the app for whatever system you use? Then buy small amounts of euros until the rate goes up. I use the fairfx app and buy while we're away.
You of course are assuming that the rate will improve before I need to make payment (April/May) and there seems to be no certainty at all this will happen.
 
In theory of course the current price reflects the sum of knowledge in the market. I (and probably we) don’t know better than the sum of market judgments.

It’s probably a decision best taken as a personal risk judgment. Is this a good affordable price for you to fund your final payment? Does the price certainty of doing it now help you? Conversely, if the price drops by very much (or improves by very much) what will the impact on you be?
Totally agree it's a personal risk judgement.

If I buy now and rate subsequently drops I would congratulate myself on having such astute judgement.

If I buy now and the rate subsequently rises I would cry all the way home from Germany.

Neither outcome is life changing but always preferable to get it right!
 
I always stand by what the money boys think.. They know a LOT more than us prols ever will..
Revolut are at 1.154 € .. it has been on the up for 14 days now
I watch it like a hawk and get feed from an ex-banker friend who has retired and is making some serious money speculating on the $ the £ and the ... and will buy when I think right.. I am not buying yet
 
Best way you can tell rate is on the up...
Carney the Blarney is quiet &
BBC havent mentioned exchange rate for weeks
 

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